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This hand makes me think of the data a major Casino put out
about the actual results of all Holdem hands for the first six
million games played on their site.
The hands that lost the most money were not the ?worst? hands
possible. The biggest money loser (not coincidentally) is 32s. It lost
more than 32s or 72s. Then also, A2s lost more than 32s.
Most players overvalue garbage cards. Its the kiss of
death.
Insider Tip
Hands that should do better than other hands (32s should do
better than 32o) end up doing markedly worse because people
play them and think they ?have? something.
23 is the single most costly Holdem holding in the hands of 90%
of the players . . . and it holds that distinction by far. 234 is a big
improvement, adding the 7 helps, and adding a suit does too, but
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anyone who thinks this is a ?good? hand is surely going to lose a
lot of money with it.
Again, this scenario is about the best possible for the hand (besides
a
Free Ride in the blind of course), but the hand is still highly
speculative and will be a money loser for non-good players.
Contrast this to A347 and even a non-good player will have a
profitable hand on the button.
The pursuit of available information, even if it takes a bit of work,
is largely what separates winning (and breakeven) players from
losing players.
Certainly most players lose, but the combination of the winning
players and the smallish losers is in the ballpark of half the
players. ?Bigtime losers? is a smaller percentage -- especially
among players who play more than five
Sessions in their life. Also,
the whole concept of ?bigtime losers? is fallacious because while
plenty of players lose 100% of what they deposit that 100% is often
$100.
LIMIT TEXAS HOLDEM TOURNAMENT GUIDE
uch of the popularity of Texas Holdem recently is based
on televised Texas Holdem Tournaments. If youve
followed the Cage Food Chain Theory of regular game
play, you will be happy to know that Tournament play progresses
in a very familiar fashion from fish to barracuda to shark as
the
Betting Limits increase.
In the beginning, the rule is to play very conservatively. Play very
tight Fish level rules. Some players become very reckless in the
beginning of tournaments, feeling they need to build their
Stack.
This is completely wrong. A very conservative style will keep you
alive longer.
Playing Limit Tournaments
First off, all advice on tournament play here should be taken with
a grain of salt. I don't claim to be some tournament guru, because
M
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if I were, I'd probably be somewhere making much more money.
However, I do seem to be placing in the money in half of the
single-table tournaments I play, so maybe there's something to be
said for that.
The next chapter is for you if you've already played a few
tournaments and want to figure out why you are ending up short
Stacked into the mid levels (3-5) and then end up getting ran over
by the loose betters who seem to hold nothing. If you're a maniac
and find yourself loosing more often than not, you may find this
section useful too.
Remember players are eliminated when they run out of chips.
Thats the key survival technique at this stage. Make it to the sixplayer
level by holding on to the chips you have.
At mid-point in the game, once the table is reduced to six players,
revert to a Barracuda strategy. Follow the pre-flop strategy
carefully.
Once you are down to three players, Shark strategy is the rule of
the day. Aggressive play is an absolute requirement to win in
tournaments.
The most important thing to understand about tourney play online
is that it is fast. I'm not talking about the speed at which players
play, but I'm referring to the blinds structure. You only have 10
hands before the blinds go up a level. The limit levels look like
this:
Level 1: 15 / 30
Level 2: 30 / 60
Level 3: 50 / 100
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Level 4: 100 / 200
Level 5: 200 / 400
Level 6: 300 / 600
Level 7: 400 / 800
Level 8: 500 / 1000
Level 9: 600 / 1200
What this means is that when the deal has gone around the table
four times, you're already betting a significant percentage of your
starting
Bankroll (800 chips to start). Let's say you played ultratight
to level 4, that is like playing a $1/2 game with $7, not really
fun! But critical to successful play in tournaments.
Level One to Two
There are a lot of theories floating around regarding a play
strategy for the early rounds. Some experts claim the secret is to
play loose and hope for a monster pot at some point to shore up
your
Stack. (You wont find the word hope in our Poker
dictionary at the end of this book so I cant really help you there.)
All the latest research we have looked at supports playing super
tight, staying under the radar and saving all the money you can for
the later levels when it really matters. The idea behind the first
strategy of seeing as many flops as possible, is based on the sad
truth that tournaments go by very quickly. Weve all seen the guy
who manages to win chips early on with garbage hands based on
the fact that the rest of the players are playing very tightly. He
obviously ends up in a much better position into the later levels.
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In the long run, this person will lose, but in the short run, it can be
frustrating to see such loose play rewarded. Dont let these shortterm
gains affect your style of play. Stay tight. Keep to your plan.
The Cage Food Chain School of strategy says play tight in the
early rounds. With 7 or 8 callers in a pot, many of whom are
novice players and will draw on you, it's very difficult to win
pots in the early rounds with mediocre hands. The top pocket
cards are what you need to win. Facing a straight or flush draw,
you can almost be sure someone is going to chase after you. Bets
to get people out and careful checks on the river will
Pay Off.
Note:
Bluffing at this stage in the game is nearly impossible.
Dont waste your time.
The most important thing you should be doing in the first two
rounds is taking notes on your opponents. Note what hands
people pre-flop
Raise with, what hands they play, do they re-
Raise
flush/straight draws, anything that will help you out later. If you
do this often enough, you'll find that you'll naturally form your
own player profiles and realize how you should play this
individual.
If they're tight, then they can be
Bluffed. If they're a
Bluffer or liar,
you'll want to call down questionable bets or re-
Raise them if you
have anything. Common sense stuff, but most people just hunker
down and play their hand. Don't do this! Pay close attention to
everyone's betting habits when you're not in a hand. Be intense
about your poker, don't watch TV on your off hands.
Level Three and Four
The big change once the game hits level 3/4 is that
Bluffing now
becomes an option. As the stakes become higher, you'll find your
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opponents less willing to draw on you unless they truly are weak
players.
This is a double-edged sword as aggressive players will become
much more dangerous into these rounds. This is why player
observation is absolutely key. Against a tight table, with a major
threat on board (possible straight, flush, trips), betting out under
the gun or near last position are very possible options. Betting out
early usually signifies some kind of strength when tight players do
it, so if you have a tight table image (established in the early
rounds), most players will respect that and fold.
Remember looking at the pros and cons of
Bluffing online? In a
tournament game, your big advantage is a captive table. (Sure,
players are leaving but at least new players arent coming in.)
There is an opportunity here to train the other players and set
them up.
For instance, if the board shows Q/Q/6 and you come out betting,
most people will figure you for a
Four Of A Kind.
Tight players won't want to draw in this situation and fold. If they
call, you should figure them for a
Four Of A Kind, pocket pair and of
course, the possibility of Queens.
A
Raise should easily make you realize know they have it (or are
out-playing you), which in any case should be an easy fold.
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The turn is very difficult to play after someone has called your
Bluff.
You will have to assess it on a case-by-case situation. Another
tough decision. If you feel the other person is drawing or has a
weaker
Kicker on his four, then you will want to bet and hope he
folds. If it took him a medium amount of time to call your flop,
he's probably got a
Four Of A Kind, because he's trying to make a
decision on if you have a queen or not.
If it took him a long time, you can expect him to have pocket pair
(again, has to think about if you have queens or not) or he has
Queens and he wants to suck you in. If you do end up betting the
turn and don't get re-
Raised, you pretty much have to check down
the river as you can no longer get him out by then obviously.
While on the subject of trips, I have to say that it's better to
Bluff on
smaller trip threats. For example: 2/2/J vs J/J/2. Someone is far
more likely to be holding a Jack as opposed to a 2, simply because
average-strong players will rarely hold a 2 except for A2s, K2s,
Q2s. In the SB or BB, this is a good
Bluff as others will be more apt
to believe you are holding a 2. If you
Bluffed on the button, most
people will put you on the Jack for the very same reasoning above.
So in short,
Bluffs high trips in late position.
Bluff the turn if
needed, but almost never the river because by then they'll usually
call.
Now that
Bluffing has somewhat been covered, realize that other
players will also try to make moves (be aggressive) in these levels.
You'll tend to see mid-pairs betting out, or flush draws bet out
even. This makes it a perfect time to trap people yourself if you
hold a strong hand. Top pairs will usually be reluctant to slow
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play in these levels, as they don't want anyone drawing on them.
So if the board doesn't have any kind of possible straight/flush
threat that can develop, you may just check/call the flop then
check-
Raise the turn. It'll help your image if you win, as others
won't be able to bet all over you later in the game, which is
important.
In late position, if the board is non-threatening, you may even
check it down to give others a free card and hope someone pairs
on the turn. Being check
Raised on the turn after checks on the flop
is a really scary scenario for most players. Ideas of
Two Pair and
trips usually develop in this situation, as many people
automatically don't even begin to think of someone checking over
pair on the flop.
When you are short-
Stacked and make a play, players are more
apt to call you down on your
Slow Play. They will view your
play as a desperation move and are far less likely to believe you.
The rest of the general strategy for these levels is to just play tight,
make a few moves when you can, but otherwise hunker down and
take cover.
Level Four and Up
Now comes the fun part!
Now that the limit is 200/400 (blinds 100/200), you need to change
gears very fast. Half, if not more of the table should be gone now
and more will follow quickly. In a short-handed game, semi-strong
hands become strong and strong hands become monsters. A9s for
example, a playable hand with 10 people becomes very playable
with 4 people. K9o, weak in a 10-person game, is very playable
with 4 people. The same rules of poker in regard to position still
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apply though! The earlier you play, the stronger your hands needs
to be. The later you play, the less strong it needs to be, as you don't
need to worry about it being
Raised.
However, you should be the one doing the raising!
At this point in the game, you do NOT want to go to showdown
with your opponent and should be happy with winning the pot.
Blind stealing becomes critical at this point, because each set of SB
and BB is worth so much. Strong hands need to be
Raised and
weak hands need to be folded quickly. You need to be able to
switch quickly between aggressive and non-aggressive betting. Be
the aggressor. Bet the flop when it comes down if you
Raised preflop.
Remember, it's not about what you have, but what your
opponent doesn't have!
You hold AQ and the flop comes KT7. You're in last position, but
the BB, who bet pre-flop, comes out and immediately bets out 400
on the flop. Do you call? It's a very tough decision because you
have to try to figure out what he has. If he's got Kings, you're all
but dead as you have a gutshot or
Overpair Ace draw. Even if he
has nothing, is this maniac going to bet 400 on the turn and then
another 400 on the river? Are you willing to pay 1200 to see this
down?
You don't want to be in this position! You want to be the one
putting OTHERS to this decision!
In the above scenario, you may have held A9o and
Raised the
caller. When the flop came, you bet out your high card ace- scary
as it is. Guess what? He ends up folding and you won with the
weaker hand. That is why taking the charge is vital at the later
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levels, because it turns info a mind game instead of a card game.
All he has to do is think you are stronger is that he is too weak and
you've already won. It doesn't matter what you hold.
You'll find in the lower buy-in tournies that the solid, tight players
make it to the later levels, but most of them will hesitate and fold
their way into oblivion to the crazy better. You need to outaggressive
the maniacs at this point in the tournament. Sure, when
you're aggressive and in charge, at some point someone will make
a move against you, whether it be a
Raise, check-
Raise, trap or
they're stealing back against you. Don't be overly aggressive and
Raise like a maniac on everything that comes your way. You cannot
simply
Raise your way out of every situation.
Just remember that while tight players can make moves against
you, as long as you can make more moves against them, you will
win. And when you are the aggressor, you WILL make more
moves against tight players. That's because you always have more
info than your opponent. When they
Raise into you, you know they
have something. When you bet into them, they aren't sure what
you have.
Eventually, even they will trap themselves when you DO have
something and they bet a weaker
Kicker or pair into yours and you
can come right back at them.
I know someone out there is saying: Yeah, this is great and all, but
what about when the tight player is on to you and just re-
Raises
everything you have? I can almost guarantee you that it does not
happen at the lower levels. Once it has become a mental game,
poor/average players are no longer thinking very logically, but
with emotions. They will be scared and in most cases do not have
the courage to stand up and challenge you with blanks in their
guns. If they do indeed just go on
Tilt and hit bet/
Raise for every
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hand they have, you just need grit it and play right back at them.
Re-
Raise strong hands pre-flop, call with weak hands. Re-
Raise
pairs aggressively, call with A/K high, fold low high cards.
Make more money when you win. Lose less money
when you lose.
Insider Tip
You need to be able to take off like a rocket and stop on a dime in
terms of your betting. Be the aggressor. Bet the flop when it comes
down if you
Raised pre-flop. Remember, it's not about what you
have, but what your opponent doesn't have!
Imagine this: You hold AQ and the flop comes KT7.
You're in last position, but the BB, who bet pre-flop, comes out and
immediately bets out 400 on the flop.
Do you call?
It's a very tough decision because you have to try to figure out
what he has. If he's got Kings, you're all but dead as you have a
gutshot or
Overpair Ace draw. Even if he has nothing, is this
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maniac going to bet 400 on the turn and then another 400 on the
river? Are you willing to pay 1200 to see this down?
You don't want to be in this position! You want to be the one
putting OTHERS to this decision! In the above scenario, you may
have held A9o and
Raised the caller. When the flop came, you bet
out your high card ace- scary as it is. Guess what? He ends up
folding and you won with the weaker hand. That is why taking the
charge is vital at the later levels, because it turns info a mind game
instead of a card game. All he has to do is think you are stronger is
that he is too weak and you've already won. It doesn't matter what
you hold.
You'll find in the lower buy-in tournies that the solid, tight players
make it to the later levels, but most of them will hesitate and fold
their way into oblivion to the crazy better. To give you an idea of
what your goals should be in the tournament, you should analyze
the following:
Jane has been a tight player for the first half an hour. She has taken
a few pots and folded most of her hands. Now the that limits are
up, the three other players have noticed Jane
Raise pre-flop nearly
half the hands she's in. Knowing she's a tight player, a few
hesitantly call her
Raises. It doesnt slow her down. Most of the
time her opponents fold and Jane ends up taking down most of the
pots. Finally, Fred, another tight player, gets his pair of aces, and
when Jane pre-flop
Raises, Fred re-
Raises her immediately. Jane
folds and Fred takes the pot. The next hand, Jane comes out and
aggressively pre-flop
Raises. Fred, not believing any of it, comes
back and re-
Raises. Jane re-
Raises him right back. Fred hesitates and
then folds his hand.
The moral of the story there is that you want to be Jane.
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Sure, when you're aggressive and in charge, at some point
someone will make a move against you, whether it be a
Raise,
check-
Raise, or they're stealing back against you. Don't be overly
aggressive and
Raise like a maniac on everything that comes your
way. You cannot simply
Raise your way out of every situation. Just
remember that while tight players can make moves against you, as
long as you can make more moves against them, you will win.
And when you are the aggressor, you WILL make more moves
against tight players. That's because you always have more info
than your opponent. When they
Raise into you, you know they
have something. When you bet into them, they aren't sure what
you have. Eventually, even they will trap themselves when you
DO have something and they bet a weaker
Kicker or pair into
yours and you can come right back at them.
I know someone out there is saying: Yeah, this is great and all, but
what about when the tight player is on to you and just re-
Raises
everything you have? I can almost guarantee you that it does not
happen at the lower levels. Once it has become a mental game,
poor/average players are no longer thinking very logically, but
with emotions. They will be scared and in most cases do not have
the courage to stand up and duke it with you on garbage. If they
do indeed just go on
Tilt and hit bet/
Raise for every hand they have,
you just need to take a deep breath and play right back at them.
Re-
Raise strong hands pre-flop, call with weak hands. Re-
Raise
pairs aggressively, call with A/K high, fold low high cards.
Make more money when you win. Lose less money when you
lose.